Trial by Fire…and emerging unscathed!
Resilience and Recovery…
‘Resilient India ’ as a descriptor for the country’s economic strength doesn’t create a buzz anymore…it’s a given!!
However, when seen in the context of the global gloom of the last year and a half, the economy’s tenacity and forward movement has conclusively consolidated India’s position as the world’s fastest growing major economy, second only to our ‘red’ neighbour. That of course is no mean achievement.
Another sign of our progressive outlook is that whereas some countries are looking inward and turning ‘protectionist’ India has recently signed a comprehensive economic partnership agreement with South Korea, a free trade agreement with ASEAN, and is currently working on a similar agreement with Mercosur (Mercado Común del Sur, the South American Regional Trade Agreement) and Mercosur-Sacu (Mercosur free trade agreement with the Southern African Customs Union).
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has, in its latest report, applauded the Indian economy's resilience and has projected a growth rate of 7 per cent in 2010 and 7.5 per cent for 2011. The projection is predicated on:
Ø India ’s six key infrastructure industries rose by 3.5 % in October 2009 on better performance by petroleum refinery products, electricity and finished steel.
Ø Healthcare allied sectors registered a growth of 9.3 % between 2000 -2009.
Ø In the aviation industry, the domestic passenger traffic registered a growth of 3.32% in the first ten months of 2009, compared to the corresponding period of 2008.
Ø The country's total telephone subscriber base has increased 3.26 %from 509.03 million in September 2009 to 525.65 million at the end of October 2009.
Ø BSE Sensex increased by 1.03 % and surged to pre-recession level of 17,000 points.
Ø Direct tax collections of the present fiscal up to November, 2009 registered growth of 3.71% as compared to same period last fiscal.
The India Economic Summit at New Delhi in November, 2009, with the theme ‘India ’s Next Generation of Growth’, marked the 25th year of the World Economic Forum’s engagement in India . Speaking on ‘Resilient India ’, Dr Manmohan Singh said that the focus was strongly on rapid and inclusive growth. He called for increased private investment and more public - private partnerships in both physical and social infrastructure. India welcomed not only more FDI but also portfolio investment in equity in Indian companies.
As we look to the next generation of growth, critical issues like inclusive development, integration, infrastructure, power, climate change and sustainability are poised to take centre stage.